My Comments on:




When "Public Options" Serve the Public—and When They Don't


http://hnn.us/articles/116092.html


HNN, before Aug. 31, 2009

Andrew D. Todd

 a_d_todd@rowboats-sd-ca.com 

http://rowboats-sd-ca.com/




(My Responses)
(09/02/2009 02:09 PM)
http://hnn.us/articles/116092.html

Water and Mail.

Mr. Heuisler:

Please look at a rainfall and water runoff map of the United States. You will find that the major sources of your water in Arizona are up in Colorado near Teluride and up  in Wyoming near Yellowstone Park. Under true local control, Colorado, Wyoming, and Utah would divert the water for their own use, the same way that Turkey is doing in Anatolia; the Colorado River would cease to flow;  and Arizona would dry up and blow away. In 1930, before the water projects got going in a serious way, Arizona's population was about four hundred thousand, despite the fact that Arizona had  been settled for nearly  two hundred years. That reflected a good deal of mining employment which has since been automated out of existence. In 1870, the population figure had been about nine thousand, a tenth of the contemporary population of New Mexico (*). That latter figure, nine thousand people, would probably be something  like Arizona's "ecological carrying capacity." In terms of water, you are a beggar in the street.

(*) The Rio Grande is not an appreciably bigger river than the Colorado, but it is not effectively buried at the bottom of a mile-deep canyon-- it is where people could use it before high dams came along. Look at Colin Fletcher's _The Man Who Walked Through Time_. During his trip up the Grand Canyon, he was always worrying about where he could climb up or down to fill his canteens.

Grain is closely related to water, because it requires so much water to grow. In Arizona, you import government-subsidized grain from Iowa and North Dakota. Absent the government subsidies, Iowa and North Dakota farmers would go to "low-input farming," and produce beef (or maybe bison), rather than shipping trainloads of grain down to feedlots in Arizona. Look at the April 2009 issue of Trains Magazine, a special issue dealing with grain. Among other things, it has a nice map of grain  movements. Roughly speaking, the dividing line between grain producers and consumers runs as follows. Fort Worth, Texas; Amarillo, Texas; Denver, Colorado; Boise,  Idaho;  Spokane, Washington. Farmers east of this line sell grain-- farmers west of  the  line buy  grain and feed it to livestock. East of the Mississippi, the dividing line is roughly the Appalachian Mountains. Farmers in Ohio sell grain-- farmers in  Georgia buy it and feed it to livestock, typically chickens and hogs.

As for the Post Office, the Post Office would not be much use if it could only deliver things to the next block. It has to be a national organization, in some form or other. Your choice is between a federal government department and a mega-corporation. Of course, you could compare the Post Office with UPS and Fed Ex, but I think a fairer comparison would be with a related business, telecommunications, which is dominated by corporations, and where corporations are not under pressure to compete with a "public option." Cable television companies represent the "business ethic" in its purest form. Therefore, you need to explain why you think Comcast is better than the Post Office. You have to deal with the fact that  Comcast sometimes does block traffic which it thinks might compete with its own businesses. Likewise, you have to deal with the fact that Comcast employees sometimes carry out armed robberies, taking advantage of their uniforms to secure the trust of the public. There was a weird case involving Verizon recently. A Verizon employee in New York came to a man's door, and when the  man asked for identification, the Verizon employee forced his way in and beat the householder up, before being subdued by an off-duty policeman. Afterwards, Verizon took  the line that since the Verizon employee had managed to beat the rap, via a stay-out-of-trouble bargain with the DA's office, he must be altogether innocent. As firms compete, and try to maximize profits, they are under pressure  to find cheaper and cheaper labor-- and you get what you pay for. The uniforms may _look_ spiffy enough, but there often isn't very much in the way of background checks behind them. I could go on, but  if you are interested, read Techdirt.com.

Also, take a look at  James H. Bruns, _Motorized Mail_ (1997). It offers an interesting perspective of how the public mails reached their present level, with improvements like Rural Free Delivery and Parcel Post. The Post Office started doing Parcel Post to fill a public need,  because the commercial railway-express companies had formed a combination, and were going in for price-gouging. I have a couple of facsimile Sears catalogs (1900 and 1908). Sears was recommending customers to organize "buying clubs" to put together group orders weighing a hundred pounds or more,  to circumvent the express companies pricing schemes. The official railroad express shipping rate from Chicago to Arizona was about twelve gold-backed dollars per hundred pounds, say six dollars per pound in modern money, or twelve dollars per pound for a small shipment. Something like a pair of boots, shipped alone, was an  "uneconomic shipment," on account of the high shipping  rates. Needless to say, when Parcel Post went through during the Wilson  Administration, in 1913, some of  the major backers were department store magnates who were in the mail-order business.

To get some idea of the kinds of local monopolies which Sears broke down, take note of the fact that they were profitably selling canned vegetables, eg.  corn, lima beans, etc. A 2-1/2 lb. can might cost ten gold-backed cents (fifteen gold-backed cents, inclusive of shipping to Arizona, or about three modern dollars for a standard modern can of 15 oz.). That must have been about five or six times the rate in the modern supermarket. Just think of the sheer scale of local commercial monopolies in terms  of  which it made  economic sense to get canned beans by mail-order from across the country. I really don't think Parcel  Post was such a monstrous incursion upon liberty.

William J. Stepp, a principled Libertarian, responded. Like most Libertarians, he was not very well informed about practical details. So I educated him:]

(09/03/2009 09:42 AM)

Public Versus Private-- The Way It Really Was.

Well, over  most of the country, MaxMail only delivers to postal sorting centers. There are only about two hundred of those. Delivering on that basis is not an autonomous operation-- it's more comparable to magazine fulfillment, or similar printer services. I suppose MaxMail has some kind of courier service in New York, but that is a special case. At least one of the companies you cite seems to be one of the old Lower Manhattan bicycle courier  shops. To deliver mail or parcels on a national basis, you have to have hundreds of thousands of carriers. Launching a new national carrier is an uphill proposition because you have to overcome  the economies of scale of existing  players. DHL, which was a subsidiary of the German post office (D stands for Deutsche), tried for a while, but lost money, and eventually folded. If a carrier has to drive an hour between every delivery point, the rates are going to be impossibly high. To have reasonable costs, the driver has  to make a delivery every couple of minutes, which, in an urban area would mean every  block or so. That means there have to be a lot of drivers, and you practically have to have at least a ten percent market share to be  in the business at all. Apparently, DHL did not manage to get a big enough market share, or perhaps there simply wasn't room for four national carriers in the market.

http://www.cmsnetwork.com/
http://maxxmailusa.com/

If you make deliveries to a given address with any regularity, you can often arrange with the occupant to put up a box which is not, technically, a mailbox. It has your company name written on the side instead of  "U.S. Mail." A lot of newspapers used to have their own plastic  boxes, as a practical alternative to throwing the paper in the bushes. A  plastic box made in China is really cheap. You would probably spend more to have your representative talk to the householder, and get his permission to install the box, than the box itself would cost. Of course, to get still more to the heart of the matter, in many cases, a mailbox is apt to have keys, or it may be located in a lobby or stairwell with keyed access. Thus, in demanding "equality" for private carriers, you are effectively demanding that they be given, of right, latchkeys to private premises.

What makes Business-to-Business delivery work is the assumption that the recipient employs a receptionist, doorkeeper, concierge, etc., whose job is to greet the public, and who can pay instant attention  to the parcel deliveryman when he comes in the door. I have  noticed that  Federal Express deliverymen become noticeably irritable when one does not answer the door as fast as someone who is paid to respond  instantly.  I think I only ever got one parcel through DHL before they folded. The doorbell rang, and by the time I got to the door, the  deliveryman was gone, and there was a parcel  on the doorstep, valued at about two hundred dollars. Whether that was acceptable to  the shipper is more than I can say. UPS operates to rather higher standards, of course.

The truth is that, for anyone except junk mailers, forty-some cents for a first class stamp is perfectly acceptable. I find that I usually send a letter, instead of an e-mail, when I am sending a check, and postage is much cheaper than  bank fees. For various kinds of junk mail, the Post Office offers rates as low as seven cents, if you bar-code in all the right  places, and presort to the last detail, and put bulky material on the internet-- in general, never make a human do what a computer can do. If you aren't willing to spend seven cents for  my attention, I don't think I want to listen to your sales pitch. That is the whole lesson of SPAM e-mails.

I think you don't quite grasp the seriousness of the Comcast crime cases. The case in Oregon the month before last involved a Comcast employee carrying out a robbery in the course of which he hit a clerk over the  head with an iron bar. It was a particularly brutal sort of robbery. It is only the Comcast employee's dumb luck that he is not facing a Capital Murder charge.

http://www.oregonlive.com/news/index.ssf/2009/07/comcast_robbery_suspect_tied_t.html
http://www.kgw.com/news-local/stories/kgw_070809_news_se_portland_rovbbery_assault.1ed99801.html

A case a couple of years ago involves a serial sex-killer:

http://media.www.chicagoflame.com/media/storage/paper519/news/2007/03/12/NewsBriefs/Lawsuit.Says.Comcast.Let.Suspicious.Repairman.To.Make.House.Calls-2772545.shtml


Local monopolies:

The key  word is "horse." A horse can go only a limited distance. Like a man, and unlike an automobile,  a horse gets tired, and must sleep before he  can do more work.  In the nineteenth century, the American railroads were located, taking account of the limited strength of the horse, so that a farmer's horse-drawn wagon could reach  one, and only one, railroad station, operated by a single railroad company. And, yes, the commercial monopoly implied thereby entered into the railroad locater's economic calculations. The railroad would not build if it was not assured of a commercial monopoly. The result was a  town of five hundred people, more or less like Sherwood Anderson's fictional _Winesburg, Ohio_, with one of each kind of store.  See also, Frank Norris, _The Octopus_.

The railroads and their associated express companies did not  deliver in rural areas. The farmer had to go to town, say an hour of travel each way, and collect his goods at  the railroad depot. Until 1896, he had to collect his mail on this basis, and it wasn't practical to do so more  than once a week. The express company charged an hour's wages or more, just to pick up a small parcel from a shelf and set it on a counter, just because it could. In a small town, the express agent was probably also the railroad stationmaster. A local train might stop once or twice a day in each direction. The station agent or express agent wheeled a cart up to the baggage car and spent a few minutes  rapidly unloading stuff before wheeling the cart back into the station building, and  putting everything on the appropriate shelves. And then he could sit around with his cronies, telling tall stories, like  a character in a Ring Lardner story. On Saturday morning, of course, when the farmers came into town to do their business, there would be more of a  rush. Naturally, the local power structure had a good deal to say about who got the near-sinecure station agent and express agent jobs-- they were just the thing for the mayor's neer-do-well son.

The profits of monopolistic rural service went into subsidizing high-speed expresses along competitive routes, such as New  York-Chicago, where the New York Central faced off against the Pennsylvania Railroad.

When a farmer got a Model T Ford, circa 1915-1920, he was  suddenly free to drive thirty or forty miles to a small city, with a population in the tens of thousands, where there were many competing stores, and better prices.

Parenthetically, experience shows  that if you collect your mail from a store, the shopkeeper is likely to  make  difficulties unless you buy stuff from the store. He doesn't want you buying stuff mail-order when you could buy it from him.








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